Two More Maine Politcal Polls Released
Two new polls of the Maine governor's race were released yesterday, with similar results among the frontrunners but very different numbers for undecided voters and support for non-party candidates.
A Rasmussen Reports one-day survey of 500 likely voters found Paul Lepage with 35%, Libby Mitchell with 32% and Eliot Cutler with 21% of the vote. 6% preferred another candidate and 6% were undecided.
This margin between LePage and Mitchell is in line with other recent polls, but this is the highest showing yet for Eliot Cutler. He recieved 14% in the last Rasmussen poll.
Cutler's level of support is likely due in part to being the only non-party candidate polled by name.
The result prompted Cutler's campaign manager, Ted O'Meara to send an email to Cutler's supporters with the subject "Eliot Surges in New Poll!" in which he declares that "With three weeks to go, Eliot now has the momentum to win this race!"
The Maine Poll, conducted by Critical Insights on behalf of Maine Today Media, had slightly different results. You have to read a bit into the article to get the real numbers, as the first numbers reported are without leaners.
As the pollster herself notes in her memo on the results, the "key takeaway" of the poll should be the results with voters who are leaning towards one candidate or another included in the totals for those candidates. At this point in the election, they're almost certain to vote the way they're leaning.
The poll shows LePage with 34%, Mitchell with 29%, Cutler with 13%, Moody with 6%, Scott with 1% and 18% of the electorate still undecided.
O'Meara has a slightly different line when asked about these results. From the Press Herald article:
"Everybody is far too obsessed with polls and (they are) not spending enough time focusing on the candidates and their qualifications and the plans they are putting forth for Maine people -- none of the polls were right in the primaries," O'Meara said.